As we start a new decade, we can see hopeful signs of improvement for people with disabilities. At the same time, it’s hard not to notice more negative trends — evidence that in some ways we may be heading in the wrong direction on disability issues and culture.
What will life be like for disabled people ten years from now? Will today’s worrying trends turn into frightening realities? Or will we finally achieve some of the access, equality, and opportunity breakthroughs we have been working on for decades?
Let’s first look at three ways things could end up much worse for disabled people in 2030, given current trends:
- Division
The disability community could become even more bitterly divided than it is already — by race, gender, and sexual orientation, between “haves” and “have-nots,” among conflicting political identities, and between groups of people with different kinds of disabilities.
Disability is an incredibly diverse set of experiences, encompassing physical, cognitive, sensory, and emotional impairments and hundreds of specific diagnoses. And disability itself intersects with all other flavors of human experience and social identity. Despite this, the overall trend over the last 30 years has been for the disability community to come together as much as possible. Cooperation has contributed to historic advances, and these advances have in turn helped reinforce the value of unity.
Yet even now, we see that external threats and zero-sum, “circle the wagons” thinking threaten to overwhelm the drive for solidarity, shared experience, and collective action. It would be tragic for the disability community, (such as it is), to once again shatter into competing and mutually resentful camps … tragic, but entirely possible.
2. The sinister side of innovation
Medical and technological advances could increasingly make disability seem like something people can choose to fix, and should — further stigmatizing people with more persistent, ongoing disabilities.
Many people, including many with disabilities, view innovations in medicine, technology, and wellness as hopeful opportunities to cure and essentially conquer disability itself. It’s a major component of technological utopianism, the belief that ever-advancing technology holds the key to fixing our most difficult social problems. And it’s true that technology has done a lot to liberate disabled people, through better wheelchairs and prosthetics, relatively cheap adaptive products, and of course computers and the internet. Medicine, too, is largely responsible for vastly improved everyday health and longevity for people with disabilities that once cut lives short.
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